DC Ranch housing market: what the numbers say right now

In October 2026, 246 single-family homes were listed for sale in the ZIP code that covers DC Ranch, McDowell Mountain Ranch and the Grayhawk area, down from 298 a year earlier, and sixty-five homes in that same ZIP code closed each month. Cromford's months of supply figure for the area, which measures how long the current homes for sale would last at that pace, stood at 3.3 in October 2026.

I'm Jen Keene, a REALTOR® with eXp Realty Luxury in Scottsdale, AZ, and I'm the agent people call at every stage of their life. These are Cromford's numbers for the ZIP code that covers DC Ranch, and I checked them on October 3, 2026, because a number from last spring, or one pulled from a different neighborhood, won't tell you what's happening in this market right now.

In October 2026, homes that closed sold in a median of 40 days from listing to close, and the median home went under contract for the first time within 25 days of being listed. Closed sales went for a median of 94.67 percent of list price, and sixty-three homes were under contract in October 2026. The median sale price was up 7.8 percent from a year earlier, and price per square foot was up 5.6 percent over the same period.

Months of supply is the number I'd start with. In October 2026 it stood at 3.3 for this ZIP code, and it only measures how long the current homes for sale would last at the current pace of sales. It doesn't say whether a specific house is priced right, and it doesn't predict what happens to any one offer.

The 94.67 percent sale-to-list figure for October 2026 is the median gap between what a home asked and what it closed for, across every home that sold that month in this ZIP code. A home in a different village, with a different number of bedrooms, is counted in that same median right along with yours.

Days to first contract and median days on market are measuring two different things. In October 2026, the median home in this ZIP code went under contract for the first time within 25 days of listing. Homes that had already closed sold in a median of 40 days from listing to close, a figure that includes homes that fell out of contract once and had to go back on the market before they closed. In October 2026, homes still active and waiting had been listed a median of 46 days so far.

In October 2026, Cromford's listing success rate for this ZIP code was 78.3 percent, meaning that share of listings made it all the way to closing instead of expiring or being pulled off the market.

Cromford also publishes a citywide figure for all of Scottsdale, as its own separate measurement. In October 2026, the City of Scottsdale had 1,355 active single-family listings, 317 closing each month, and 3.7 months of supply. Days to first contract ran 27, median days on market for closed sales was 52, and sale-to-list was 96.29 percent. The median sale price was up 5.2 percent from a year earlier, and price per square foot was up 3.1 percent. Those are figures for the whole city, covering every neighborhood in it, measured separately from the 85255 ZIP code figures above.

Run any number in this report through four steps before you act on it.

1. Find your village. DC Ranch covers four villages, Country Club, Desert Camp, Desert Parks and Silverleaf, and a buyer or seller in one of them isn't competing against the whole ZIP code, only against homes like theirs.
2. Find your condition range. In the established villages, condition runs from entirely original to rebuilt inside, and that changes price more than square footage does. Know which end of that range your home, or the home you're looking at, sits on.
3. Match the number to your situation. If you're buying, median days on market for active listings and days to first contract tell you the most. If you're selling, sale-to-list and listing success rate tell you the most. Both figures sit in the same report and answer different questions.
4. Check the date. This report is for October 2026, and a figure more than about 45 days old is already describing a market that's moved on.

Once you've done that, you can use the ZIP-wide figures as a starting point for your own house.

These figures cover more than DC Ranch alone. The 85255 ZIP code groups DC Ranch, McDowell Mountain Ranch and the Grayhawk area together, because that's how Cromford reports that ZIP code. A home in Silverleaf and a home in McDowell Mountain Ranch both sit inside that same 246-listing count, and they aren't competing against each other for the same buyer.

Inside DC Ranch itself, the ZIP-wide number covers one more difference. The community is four villages, Country Club, Desert Camp, Desert Parks and Silverleaf, built from the mid 1990s onward, and in the established villages, condition ranges from entirely original to rebuilt inside, which changes price more than square footage does. A 1999 home that's been rebuilt and a 1999 home that's never been touched are two different homes at two different numbers, and one ZIP-wide median doesn't separate them.

The same gap shows up in price per square foot. In October 2026, active listings in this ZIP code were priced at a median of $595.92 a square foot, and homes that closed over the trailing twelve months went for a median of $529.05 a square foot. Those are two different groups of homes, what's currently asking and what's already sold, and the report measures them separately.

The ZIP-wide numbers above don't show what a specific house in a specific village should be priced at, or offered on, this month. That comes from the sales closest to it.

Say you're watching a specific listing. In October 2026, homes still active in this ZIP code had been on the market a median of 46 days so far, while the median home in the ZIP code had gone under contract for the first time within 25 days of listing. A listing that's been sitting well past those marks is in a different spot than one still in its first couple of weeks, and I can tell you exactly where it stands once I know the address.

If you're selling, the 94.67 percent sale-to-list figure for October 2026 is a median for the whole ZIP code. Where your home lands against that figure comes down to the price you choose on day one, built from what's closed in your village and your condition range. I bring three prices to a listing appointment and let you choose, so the number comes from your home and your village.

If you're buying and selling at the same time, which village you're watching and which direction you're moving both change what these numbers mean for you. We work that out before either side starts.

This report covers single-family homes in the 85255 ZIP code in October 2026, and it'll go stale soon, so check the date on any figure before you rely on it for a specific house.

If you're buying in DC Ranch, here's how I run a DC Ranch search, and here's where I start with a new buyer, before we look at a single house.

If you're selling, here's how I work out what your specific home is worth, using your village and condition rather than this ZIP-wide median. Here's what it takes to sell a home in DC Ranch, once you have that number.

Call me at (480) 203-6605 or get in touch, and tell me which village you're watching and what you're trying to do. I'll pull the current numbers for that specific part of DC Ranch before we talk price.